The Spoon Spiral: A 200-Year Tariff-Distraction Cycle
Introduction This analysis uncovers a recurring U.S. tariff pattern: duties raise consumer prices, passing ~80% of costs within 3–9 months and 100% over 5–10 years, masked by distractions that emerge as prices are noticed and escalate until the tariff’s role fades. Eight events from 1828–2025 show this, with Trump’s 2018–2025 actions amplifying it into a […]